Reports

Discussion Papers

No.821 Magnification Effect in International Production Networks: Evidence from Asia

by Kazunobu Hayakawa and Hiroshi Mukunoki

July 2021

ABSTRACT

This study empirically examines the "magnification effect" proposed in Yi (2003, Journal of Political Economy). He demonstrated theoretically that, as the number of separable production stages increases, the magnitude of trade increases explosively through the reduction of trade costs. We investigate the existence of the magnification effect for intra-Asian trade in machinery industries. Specifically, we estimate a gravity equation for worldwide trade that includes tariffs and their interaction term with a dummy variable for intra-Asian trade. As a result, we found a significantly negative coefficient for this interaction term, especially in the electrical machinery industry, indicating that tariff reductions increase intra-Asian trade more greatly than other trade. These results are robust against endogeneity in tariffs and other confounding factors. Keywords: Production networks; Asia; Tariffs

Keywords: Production networks, Asia, Tariffs

JEL classification: F15, F53

Please note that discussion papers are works in various stages of progress and most have not been edited and proofread and may contain errors of fact or judgment. Revised versions of these papers may subsequently appear in more formal publication series. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s). The IDE does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included and accepts no responsibility for any consequences arising from its use.