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Indonesia at a Juncture: Evaluation of the Jokowi Government and Challenges for the new Prabowo Government
Authors/Editors
Publication date
December 2025
ISBN
978-4-258-04673-7
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About this book
About this book
In October 2024, the government of Indonesia changed hands, with Joko Widodo (Jokowi) completing his two-term, 10-year presidency and Prabowo Subianto assuming office as the new president. Coinciding with this change in regime, this volume examines Indonesia from three perspectives. First, we evaluate the Jokowi administration, investigating topics such as politics, the economy, civil society, diplomacy, and environmental initiatives. Second, we analyze the electoral campaigns, voting behavior, and characteristics of the elected members of parliament in both the legislative and presidential elections held in February 2024. Finally, we examine the characteristics of the new Prabowo administration. Based on this analysis, this book provides a broad range of perspectives necessary for analyzing current and future trends in Indonesia.
Contents
Preface
Introduction
Indonesia at a Juncture: Democratic backsliding and lackluster economic growth
Author: Takayuki Higashikata
Chapter 1
Jokowi’s Politics and Democratic Decline
Author: Jun Honna
Chapter 2
Civil Society under Jokowi’s Decade: The State Oppression and its Interstices
Author: Ken Miichi
Chapter 3
Analysis of Economic Performance under the Jokowi Administration
Author: Takayuki Higashikata
Chapter 4
Macroeconomic Policies and Institutional Development during the Jokowi Era
Author: Miki Hamada
Chapter 5
Redistribution Programs of the Jokowi Administration and the 2024 Elections
Author: Ayako Masuhara
Chapter 6
Indonesia’s Underweight Diplomacy: President Widodo’s Untung-Rugi Foreign Policy
Author: Nobuhiro Aizawa
Chapter 7
Climate Change Policy for the Jokowi Administration: Industrial Policy and International Pledges
Author: Etsuyo Michida
Chapter 8
Why Did Prabowo Overwhelmingly Win the Election? Analysis of Voting Behavior in the 2024 Presidential and Legislative Elections
Author: Koichi Kawamura, Takayuki Higashikata
Chapter 9
Repression in the Name of Moderation: Islamic Policies under the Jokowi Administration
Author: Yuka Kayane
Chapter 10
Dance to Win? TikTok Politics in the 2024 Presidential Election in Indonesia
Author: Masaaki Okamoto, Nobuaki Yagi, Genta Kuno
Chapter 11
Assessment of Electoral Integrity: A Comparative Analysis Based on Investigative Reports by Tempo Magazine
Author: Yuji Mizuno
Chapter 12
Members of Parliament 2024-2029 and Political Families in Indonesia
Author: Akiko Morishita
Chapter 13
What is Prabowo Aiming for? Politics, Economics, and Diplomacy of the New Administration
Author: Koichi Kawamura
Conclusion
What the Jokowi’s Decade and the Birth of the Prabowo Administration Mean for Indonesia
Author: Koichi Kawamura
Data
Author: Yuji Mizuno
Preface
Preface
This book is the outcome of a joint research project conducted at the Institute of Developing Economies (IDE) in FY2023-24. In Indonesia, general elections have been held every 5 years since 1999, immediately following the end of the Soeharto era of developmental authoritarianism. Direct presidential elections were introduced in 2004, and democratic electoral processes have remained stable without significant turmoil.
IDE has organized joint research projects for these 5-year elections, making the findings publicly available. The previous general and presidential elections in 2019 were considered to be a referendum on the first-term achievements of President Joko Widodo (commonly known as Jokowi). The findings of the first joint research project were published as “Indonesia’s 2019 Elections: The Re-election of Joko Widodo amid Deepening Polarization” (Koichi Kawamura ed., IDE, 2020). The present volume embodies the findings of the joint research group established to analyze the 2024 elections.
This book comprises 15 chapters, including an introduction and conclusion, along with some supplementary materials at the end. The content of this book can be broadly divided into three parts. First, we assess the two-term, 10-year Jokowi presidency from various perspectives. Next, we analyze the campaign activities and voting behavior during the 2024 general and presidential elections. Finally, we examine the characteristics of the new administration of Prabowo Subianto, who took office in October 2024. This volume’s content, which is rich in both quality and scope, is attributable to the involvement of 14 researchers from inside and outside IDE in the joint research project.
That we have successfully brought this research to publication once again is first and foremost thanks to the tremendous cooperation of everyone who participated in the research project. Additionally, the editorial staff at IDE’s Publication Division, Academic Information Center, carefully reviewed each manuscript and provided valuable comments. We wish to express our sincere gratitude once more.
Finally, this book is freely available online. In addition, some of the research project’s findings have previously been published as articles in the “Indonesia’s 2024 Elections” special feature timed with the February 2024 elections on IDE Square, the organization’s web magazine. We encourage readers to download this book and refer to it as needed, together with the seven special feature articles on the IDE Square. Although there is a cost, a printed copy of the book is also available. Those interested can order the print-on-demand version through Sanseido Book Store On Demand, Rakuten Books, or Amazon. We hope that reading this book will deepen your understanding of contemporary Indonesia.
Editors
October 2025