Seminars & Events
APL-Bakery Seminar
Economic and Corruption Voting under a Predominant Party System
APL
(Ajiken
Power
Lunch)
is
a
lunchtime
workshop
open
to
public,
including
IDE
staffs,
visiting
research
fellows,
IDEAS
students,
outside
researchers
and
graduate
students.
This
workshop
provides
a
platform
for
presentation
of
any
work
in
progress
where
we
can
discuss
in
either
English
or
Japanese.
Those
who
would
attend
a
seminar
are
asked
to
announce
yourself
to
receptionists
on
your
arrival
at
the
IDE
and
to
obtain
APL
Organizers'
signature
on
your
admission
card
after
the
seminar.
Date&time:
July 17, 2015. (Friday) 12:00-13:00
Venue:
Theme:
Economic and Corruption Voting under a Predominant Party System
Abstract
Predominant
party
systems,
in
which
a
single
party
has
won
three
consecutive
general
elections
with
at
least
a
ten
percent
vote
margin
over
its
nearest
rival,
emerge
after
a
long
period
of
economic
success
but
they
also
nurture
corruption.
The
persistence
of
a
predominant
party
system
such
as
in
Turkey
thus
suggests
that
(1)
voters
base
their
incumbent
support
on
the
long-term
rather
than
short-term
economic
evaluation
and
(2)
their
corruption
perception
is
largely
irrelevant
to
incumbent
support.
This
paper
tests
those
two
hypotheses
using
data
from
two
nationwide
surveys.
Two-stage
least
squares
regressions
were
run
to
address
the
endogeneity
of
economic
evaluation
and
corruption
perception.
The
results
reject
the
first
hypothesis
and
provide
qualified
support
for
the
second.
First,
voters
are
sensitive
to
both
long-
and
short-term
economic
conditions.
Second,
corruption
perception
has
no
significant
impact
on
incumbent
support
once
party
identity
is
controlled
for.
Politically
informed
voters,
however,
punish
the
incumbent
for
corruption
regardless
of
party
identity.
Speaker:
Languages:
Japanese/English
KIM, Jiyoung E-mail:Jiyoung_Kim

LEI, Lei E-mail:Lei_Lei

OSADA, Noriyuki E-mail:Noriyuki_Osada
