Economic Impact of Political Protests (Strikes) on Manufacturing Firms: Evidence from Bangladesh

Discussion Papers


by Abu S. SHONCHOY and Kenmei TSUBOTA

March 2015


Political protests in the form of strikes, locally known as hartal , remain quite common in the Indian subcontinent countries. Such a form of protests is associated with mass movement, intended to cause a total shutdown of economic activities and often results in coercion, violence, and damage to both public and private properties. Utilizing the World Bank Enterprise survey data of 2007 and 2013 of Bangladesh, this study examines the impacts of hartals on manufacturing firms. We find that political protests significantly increase costs for firms. Using flexible cost function based on factor analysis we see that the factor-neutral effect of strikes is positive and statistically significant, showing evidence of a reduction in firm productivity due to hartals . However, we did not find any evidence for systematic factor re-optimization by firms – in response to political strikes – suggesting that firms do not reallocate factor shares to tackle uncertain and irregular shocks like hartals .

Keywords: Political strikes, Translog cost function, Factor biased technology
JEL classification:  D24, D74, O14

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